Posts

Showing posts from December, 2007

An Enigma called Imran Khan

I know this one is going to be the most controversial of all my posts. Yet at the same time I deliberated the most while writing this. This post in many ways is crumbling of the myth of my childhood fascination and idol. If there was anything that I followed like mad in my childhood, it was my hero, my idol, the demigod of my childhood – Imran Khan. I would mimic everything that I found him doing. I would bowl for hours in the scotching heat of June and July in street and in the courtyard. I went ecstatic when I found that he too is a Fish-buff like me. His father, Niazi Uncle (someone I have learnt a lot from, and someone who has always been extremely kind to me), is a good friend of my father and a mentor to me. Through this connection I had the privilege of meeting my childhood idol a few times. When he initiated fund raising for cancer hospital, I was selling tickets at fuel stations, road sides, walkways and shops. When he formed Tehrik -e- Insaaf , I was one of its earliest m...

Projected Election 2008 Results

Following are results based on my calculations. Calculations were based on 2002 results where seats with less than 10000 vote margin were considered based on factors like a) MMA split b) Nawaz’s return and its impact in his strongholds c) Winning/No.2 candidate switching party d) Backlash to PPP in urban centers of central and northern Punjab e) Boycott of APDM parties Disclaimers are a) A massive anti MMA wave in Frontier can change the results and might give gains to PPP S, PML N, PPP and ANP. b) Country wide seat adjustments between parties. c) A strong pro-PPP wave in Southern Punjab and Sindh. d) Massive rigging. e) A better PPP showing than expected in North and Central Punjab. Margin of Error is +/-15% Results are: PML - Q (including PML-F, PML-Z and NA): 42-57 PML - N: 42-57 PPP: 89-102 MMA: 19-37 ANP: 0-5 PPP Sherpao: 2-2 MQM: 16-16 Total Seats: 272