Prediction Time


After an eventful day, Prediction Time. No inside info. Based on my analysis.



  • Yousaf Raza Gillani will have the longest term of any Prime Minister in the history of Pakistan yet.
  • #SC will not be able to harm President or the system on account of #MemoGate or #NRO.
  • Army will feel compelled to protect the President in #MemoGate.
  • In next 6 months, civil-military imbalance will have significant changes.
  • In near future, there will be a party hostile to Chinese' trade surplus and influence in Pakistan.
  • In near future, if it ever comes to showdown between US and anyone, in final tally Pakistan will be in US Column.
  • Next Election is the last election in which #PMLN will contest with perception of a significant player.
  • #PTI wave will be the strongest in Central Punjab and Army Belt (Attock, Khoshab, Jhelum, Chakwal).
  • PPP-Sherpao will be the most significant player (significant may not be the largest) in #KP
  • Imran Khan (PTI) might not be the largest Right-wing party by no of seats yet he will remain central in new right-wing politics.
  • If Imran Khan manages to lure Arbab Rahim in #Sindh and Sherpao in #KP, #PTI will be the central right-wing national party in the system.
  • #Lahore will have #PTI as the single largest party with a 3-way split mandate.
  • Spending money on media (except for good paid ads) will be bad investment. Media has little influence over voters.
Nawaz Sharif will blame everything for his downfall when he himself is sole responsible. (It's not a prediction but an observation).
  • Peak of Anti-American sentiment in Pakistan will end starting early 2013.
  • There will be #Basant!
  • Imran Khan will have a good show in Karachi on Dec 25th.
  • Religious right & MQM's effort to replace ANP w/ PTI in Pashtun Karachi will fail.
  • Imran Khan has more potential as Urdu Speaking's leader than Pashtuns'.
  • Shah Mahmood Qureshi will lose his seat in #Multan but will win one from #Lahore.
  • #BilawalBhutto will not be a key player for #PPP in next election. His bid begins in 2017. (God protect him and his family!)
  • Politics of #Pakistan, in foreseeable future, will revolve around two Jawai(s) (Punjabi word). #Babay
In national interest and in interest of Peace and Stability, I withhold prediction on outcome of next general elections.

Comments

Umar said…
That is quite some prediction. What are your takes on the economic front? I think we are yet to hit the rock bottom!
10:11 AM
Ali Malik said…
Read http://econowise.wordpress.com
1:51 PM
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