Prediction Time
After an eventful day, Prediction Time. No inside info. Based on my analysis.
- Yousaf Raza Gillani will have the longest term of any Prime Minister in the history of Pakistan yet.
- #SC will not be able to harm President or the system on account of #MemoGate or #NRO.
- Army will feel compelled to protect the President in #MemoGate.
- In next 6 months, civil-military imbalance will have significant changes.
- In near future, there will be a party hostile to Chinese' trade surplus and influence in Pakistan.
- In near future, if it ever comes to showdown between US and anyone, in final tally Pakistan will be in US Column.
- Next Election is the last election in which #PMLN will contest with perception of a significant player.
- #PTI wave will be the strongest in Central Punjab and Army Belt (Attock, Khoshab, Jhelum, Chakwal).
- PPP-Sherpao will be the most significant player (significant may not be the largest) in #KP
- Imran Khan (PTI) might not be the largest Right-wing party by no of seats yet he will remain central in new right-wing politics.
- If Imran Khan manages to lure Arbab Rahim in #Sindh and Sherpao in #KP, #PTI will be the central right-wing national party in the system.
- #Lahore will have #PTI as the single largest party with a 3-way split mandate.
- Spending money on media (except for good paid ads) will be bad investment. Media has little influence over voters.
- Peak of Anti-American sentiment in Pakistan will end starting early 2013.
- There will be #Basant!
- Imran Khan will have a good show in Karachi on Dec 25th.
- Religious right & MQM's effort to replace ANP w/ PTI in Pashtun Karachi will fail.
- Imran Khan has more potential as Urdu Speaking's leader than Pashtuns'.
- Shah Mahmood Qureshi will lose his seat in #Multan but will win one from #Lahore.
- #BilawalBhutto will not be a key player for #PPP in next election. His bid begins in 2017. (God protect him and his family!)
- Politics of #Pakistan, in foreseeable future, will revolve around two Jawai(s) (Punjabi word). #Babay
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